Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Pengangguran di ASEAN Tahun 2020-2023

Bryan Imtiyaz Aushaf : Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta , Siti Fatimah Nurhayati : Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta

Abstract


Unemployment is a significant economic issue in ASEAN countries, serving as a key indicator of economic development and community welfare. Unresolved unemployment can lead to economic instability, declining economic growth and reduced welfare. This research purposes to analyze the impact of gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, foreign direct investment (FDI) and exchange rates on unemployment in ASEAN countries from 2020 to 2023. Panel data regression analysis is the methodology employed in this investigation. The Chow, Hausman, and Lagrange Multiplier (LM) tests were performed to identify the optimal model. The Random Effect Model (REM) was determined to be the best model based on these three experiments. The t-test result in the REM show that inflation has a negative and significant effect on ASEAN unemployment in 2020-2023, while gross domestic product (GDP), foreign direct investment (FDI) and exchange rates have no impact on unemployment in ASEAN in 2020-2023. Based on this study, in order to reduce unemployment, government policies need to be more focused and structured, with an emphasis on increasing labor-intensive sectors, developing rural infrastructure, improving industry-based training and improving the quality of human resources.

Keywords


Unemployment, Gross Domestic Product, Inflation, Foreign Direct Invesment, Exchange rate

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.30596/ekonomikawan.v26i1.29579

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