ANALYSIS OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABELS ON THE NUMBER OF POOR PEOPLE IN NORTH SUMATRA

Abstract

This study discusses the effect of inflation, unemployment, fuel prices and GRDP on the number of poor people in North Sumatra. The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of inflation, unemployment, fuel prices and GRDP on the number of poor people in North Sumatra partially and simultaneously, as well as the variables that have a dominant effect on poverty in North Sumatra Province. The data sources used are secondary data taken from the Central Statistics Agency and Bank Indonesia from 2009 - 2023. The analysis technique used in this study is multiple linear regression analysis using the e-views 12 program and conducting classical assumption tests and using simultaneous (F) and partial (t) hypothesis testing. The results of the study indicate that partially unemployment and GRDP have a negative and significant effect on the number of poor people in North Sumatra, inflation has a positive and insignificant effect on the number of poor people in North Sumatra while fuel prices have a positive and insignificant effect on the number of poor people in North Sumatra. Simultaneously inflation, unemployment, fuel prices and GRDP have a significant effect on the number of poor people in North Sumatra and have an effect on poverty in North Sumatra Province.