Analisis Dinamika Pengangguran dan Kemiskinan di Propinsi Sumatera Utara

Abstract

Poverty remains a major challenge in economic development in North Sumatra Province, as a province with a large population and diverse natural and human resource potentials, while having a strategic position in the national economy. However, achieving equitable welfare still faces many challenges and the dynamics of poverty rates are still fluctuating from year to year. This study aims to analyze the dynamics of poverty and the factors that influence it. The research uses 10 years of time series data obtained secondarily. The analysis model is Multiple Linear Regression and correlation test. The analysis results show that the Open Unemployment Rate has a positive effect on the poverty rate. Life Expectancy and Average Years of Schooling have a negative effect on poverty. These findings indicate that reducing unemployment and improving public health quality are key factors in lowering poverty rates in North Sumatra. This study provides important implications for the formulation of integrated policies to sustainably improve community welfare.